MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-05-11T00:15:11
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) observed by GOES16 is expected to persist at normal background to moderate levels during this period. Electrons should remain suppressed due to the expected arrival of a CME on Day 1 (11 May). Electron Fluence is expected to remain below the active threshold throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-05-11T00:15:11 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |