MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-05-09T00:11:25
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) observed by GOES16 is at Normal Background levels and is expected to remain so given the lack of major sources of fast wind and the threat of intervening CME activity. This is in accordance with persistence and the latest MOSWOC REFM output, both of which would suggest a continuation near current comfortably sub-active fluence levels.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-05-09T00:11:25 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |