MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-04-11T00:28:28
The High energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is at background and unlikely to rise significant due to the current observed solar wind enhancements. Peak diurnal values may reach moderate levels by the end of the period, but otherwise are expected to persist at mainly background.
The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to be below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold with REFM expected to give good guidance through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-04-11T00:28:28 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |