Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-03-30T00:14:06

The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux has been at mostly High levels and is likely to continue at moderate to high levels through days 1 and possibly early day 2 (30th and 31st). The anticipated HSS arrival from CH88/- is then likely to re-distribute electrons, with a reduction in electron flux levels expected. 

The 24-hour integrated electron fluence has now risen above the Active threshold and is expected to continue at Active levels through day 1 (30th) and perhaps into early day 2 (31st). However, as described above this should then reduce into day 2 until day 4 (March 31st until 2nd April) as Earth enters the High Speed Stream (HSS) from CH88/-. REFM trends are considered reasonable from day 3 onward (1st-2nd April), but are likely underplaying values through the first half of the period.