Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-03-27T00:13:15

The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is now at Moderate levels. There is considered a reasonably strong potential for further day-on-day increases in flux during days 1 to 3 (27th-29th), possibly extending into day 4 (30th) of the four-day forecast period, with the 1000pfu High threshold now considered Likely to be breached at diurnal maximum each day in the expected absence of further significant geomagnetic activity.

Active 24-hour integrated electron fluence perhaps carries a Chance of being realised on day 1 (27th March). There is a likelihood that Active fluence levels will be reached on day 2 and 3 (28th-29th March), this reduces to a chance on day 4 (30th).