Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-03-26T00:28:04

The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is showing a degree of recovery now peaking at Moderate levels. There is considered a reasonably strong potential for further day-on-day increases in flux over the next 4 days with the 1000 pfu High threshold likely breached at diurnal maximum each day.

Active 24-hour integrated electron fluence perhaps carries a Chance of being realised on day 1 (26th). Given current observed values are significantly above forecast values there is a likelihood that Active fluence levels will be reached from late day 1 (26th) or day 2 (27th).