Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-03-07T00:09:49

Electron flux is at high levels due to recent inputs from the coronal hole high speed stream. This is likely to remain elevated above the high threshold through much of the period, in the absence of any enhancements to geomagnetic activity. There is a risk of an increase in electron levels as the belts are currently charged at levels below GEO. As the high speed stream from coronal hole 81 eases and the belts relax, the populations at lower orbits could enhance the GEO electron counts, although potential the connection of coronal hole 82 on 08 Mar could inhibit this relaxation.

Electron fluence is expected to remain above the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, with a very slight risk of exceeding the Very Active threshold, although with a slow downward trend later in the period.