Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-03-04T13:00:32

Electron flux is likely to be at moderate to high levels perhaps becoming suppressed given any more active geomagnetic activity, however High levels are eventually expected given current HSS, with this most likely to occur into Day 4 (7th). Electron fluence is currently forecast to remain below the active threshold through Day 1 (4th) but potentially rising above active levels into the period.

MOSWOC REFM shows a suppressed forecast for the next 12 hours, before a general trend above active levels which is accepted though the potential for geomagnetic activity through Days 2 and 3 (5th and 6th) mean lower confidence