Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-02-07T13:03:20

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) as observed by GOES16 is currently at background levels, but is likely to rise to Moderate at times during the period, as a consequence of the recent slight enhancement to the geospace environment from the arrival of coronal hole fast winds. This will bring a chance of reaching High during diurnal maximum by the end of day 2 (8th)  

The associated 24 hr fluence is likely to rise, but expected to stay below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu). REFM suggests a flatter trend, however this is currently poor guidance, as it likely doesn't yet account for the recent enhancement to solar winds.