MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-02-01T13:26:25
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is at background levels, and is expected to oscillate between moderate and background levels through the next four days. Potential geomagnetic activity on 02 and 03 February may act to suppress this further. Electron fluence is at low levels with any rise over the next four days expected to be modest. The Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold is not expected to be reached.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-02-01T13:26:25 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |