MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-01-14T00:39:07
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be at background to moderate levels over the next four days in the absence of a strong high speed stream, or any other significant modifying factors to enhance counts within the radiation belts.
Electron fluence values are well below the Active threshold, although with a recent upward trend, and are most likely to remain below through the next four days.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-01-14T00:39:07 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |