MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-01-12T13:28:13
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to vary between background to moderate levels under the influence of a relatively modest high speed stream, with significant distortion of the belts unlikely. The possible CME arrival could lead to a slight depression in the electron flux, followed by a limited increase.
Electron fluence values are expected to remain below the Active threshold, with no significant impact on electron counts through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-01-12T13:28:13 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |