Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-12-13T00:27:15

High energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is showing minor signs of reacting to the recent fast wind from CH53/-, and the currently observed Normal Background to Moderate flux levels will probably be maintained through the period with High levels at diurnal maximum increasingly likely over the period, especially if the HSS from CH##/- arrives at Earth with solar winds reaching the elevated range. The 24-hour integrated electron fluence is forecast to remain below the active level and a slight chance of 10-20% is given in the forecast tables for this level to be breached.