Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-10-05T00:29:23

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to follow a rising trend through the next four days due to the currently elevated high speed stream. The flux is likely to reach persistently high levels on diurnal maximums as the period progresses, but with a chance of brief dips due to any CME arrivals and associated geomagnetic activity. While these events may temporarily reduce values, especially due to radiation belt displacement, they will also inject additional particles into the belts.

Electron fluence values are likely to follow a rising trend in line with the electron flux values, but with uncertainty introduced due to the possible CME effects.