Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-09-01T00:30:01

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to increasingly exceed the high (1e3 pfu) threshold as solar winds ease and radiation belts relax into their natural orbits. However further increasing winds from high speed streams and potential periods of heightened geomagnetic activity could inhibit the forecast sustained increase in electron flux.

Corresponding electron fluence is expected to follow a steadily rising trend during the next four days, due to increasing electron counts, but this is subject to the absence of significant geomagnetic activity or significant increases in the solar wind speeds.