MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-08-14T00:30:34
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be at high levels throughout the next four days, with only a brief dip possible due to the onset of the next high speed stream from coronal hole 14.
Electron fluence values are expected to remain above the Active threshold throughout, in the absence of any modifying factors from geomagnetic activity.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2022-08-14T00:30:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 90% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 90% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 80% | 1% |