MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-07-29T00:16:10
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to continue fluctuating between background and moderate levels, with a chance of exceeding the High threshold during day 4, after the arrival of the HSS from CH04.
The corresponding 24-hour fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold through the period. This is supported by the REFM output.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2022-07-29T00:16:10 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |