Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-07-24T00:27:32

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to vary between background and moderate levels through day 1 (24 July). The peak electron flux is expected to continue to increase through the period, with an increasing chance of exceeding the high (1e3pfu) threshold through days 1 and 2. Persistently high levels are then possible on days 3 and 4 as the high speed stream eases and radiation belts return to their natural orbits. There is low confidence in this forecast however, as it is dependent on generally muted geomagnetic activity. 

Electron fluence values are expected to follow an upward trend through the next four days, with a chance of exceeding the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold through days 3 and 4.