Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-07-09T00:10:37

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is currently at Normal Background levels. Recurrence methods are not liekly to be useful in the forecast given the changes in CH97/+ and its predecessor between rotations, as well as the heavily transient-polluted forecast and recent past. Flux levels ought to exhibit any response to the recent high speed stream in the very near future, probably establishing a diurnal trend before the UTC weekend is out that may then see out the period unaltered.

The chances of Active fluence being realised should probably peak by the new working week in the absence of any further CME activity, however even at peak they will most likely fall comfortably short of Active.