MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-04-22T00:13:08
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) as observed by GOES-16 is expected to be at mainly background levels. Any periods of Moderate flux should generally be limited to diurnal maximums. The High alert threshold (1000 pfu) is not expected to be reached.
The associated 24 hr electron fluence is forecast to be below the Active threshold (1e8 total pfu) throughout the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2022-04-22T00:13:08 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |